RELATION OF INDEX PATTERNS TO FALLOUT PEAKS 475 In the future the validity of the apparent relation between the cyclone index and the shorter period fallout fluctuations will have to be more thoroughly tested. Also, the proposed prediction model will have to be refined and tested so that more quantitative estimates of future fallout will be possible. The interaction between seasonal varia- tions in the stratospheric circulation and the tropopause-level cyclogenetic process will have to be examined in far greater detail, especially in connection with the observed rates of depletion of nuclear debris in the stratosphere. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The author wishes to thank Elmar R, Reiter for the extensive encouragement and guidance he gave while the research was being performed. William D. Ehrman provided invaluable technical and computational assistance, and Mrs. Viola Weiland typed the manuscript. The data used in the analysis were provided by the National Weather Records Center in Asheville, N. C. REFERENCES 1. L. M. Fry, F. A. Jew, and P. K. Kuroda, On the Stratospheric Fallout of Strontium-90: The Spring Peak of 1960, J. Geophys. Res., 65: 2061-2066 (1960). 2. P. F. Gustafson, §. S. Brar, and M. A. Kerrigan, Appearance of a Spring Maximum in Nuclear Test Debris in 1960, Science, 133: 460-461 (1961). 3. D. H. Peirson, Beryllium-7 in Air and Rain, J. Geophys. Res., 68: 3831- 3832 (1963). 4, W. F. Libby and C. E. Palmer, Stratospheric Mixing from Radioactive Fallout, J. Geophys. Res., 65: 3307-3317 (1960). 5. W. F. Libby, Radioactive Fallout, Particularly from the Russian October Series, Science, 45:151-175 (1959). 6. P. B. Storebg, Orographical and Climatological Influences on Deposition of Nuclear-bomb Debris, J. Meteorol., 16: 600-608 (1959). 7. D. O. Staley, Evaluation of Potential-vorticity Changes near the Tropopause and the Related Vertical Motions, Vertical Advection of Vorticity, and the Transfer of Radioactive Debris from Stratosphere to Troposphere, J. Meteorol., 17: 591-620 (1960). 8 D. O. Staley, On the Mechanism of Mass and Radioactivity Transport from Stratosphere to Troposphere, J, Atmos. Sci., 19: 450-467 (1962). 9. Y. Miyake, K. Sarukashi, Y. Katsurage, and T. Kanazawa, Seasonal Variation of Radioactive Fallout, J. Geophys. Res., 67: 189-193 (1962). 10. J. D. Mahlman, Relation of Stratospheric-Tropospheric Mass Exchange Mechanisms to Surface Radioactivity Peaks, Transport Processes in the Atmosphere Leading to Radioactive Fallout, Progress Report No. 1, Technical Paper No. 58, Colorado State University, 1964. ll. E. R. Reiter and J. D. Mahlman, Heavy Fallout over the Southern United States in November 1962, Transport Processes in the Atmosphere Leading to Radioactive Fallout, Progress Report No. 1, Technical Paper No. 58, Colorado State University, 1964.

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