BER
16 Feb 83
MEMORANDUM FOR GC
DDST( TT)
ISCM (Mr. Niles)
IN TURH
SUBJECT:
1.
Operation Redwing Final Draft
while it's clear that our astute and diligent investigator
could at best infer certain information from the predicted patterns
in the history, it is by no means clear to me that mere than fission
yields could be roughly estimated.
The argument that one could
then obtain total yields from the predicted cloud heights is true
only if one iterated on the calculations with some insight, in
may opinion, because predicted cloud heights are nov given in
the draft.
I believe, but have not verified, that ground burst
assumptions were made to complete the calculations in all cases.
However, if one did rot already know the assumed parameters of
the event (yield, HOB, fission yield) I believe calculations would
not yield meaningful results.
Therefore, I believe we could hope
to reclain DoE's decision on predicted patterns.
If you agree,
I recommend we pursue this course of action.
2.
The question of whether we (DoD) should attempt to convince
Do£ to declassify Pacific Test yields is not one which I believe
we can profitably address.
I see no hope of a successful conclusion
to such a course of action,
were successful.
and also see no profit for us
if it
DAVID L. AUTON, PhD
Chief, BEHR
90009489
Ww