whose thyroid doses ranged from about 400 to
5200 cGy, only 1 of 28 (4%) had the diagnosis of
occult papillary carcinoma.
If only those
Rongelap individuals with doses less than 2000
cGy are analyzed, 1 of 13 (8%) had an occult
carcinoma, and for those receiving over 2000 cGy
Therefore, the high”
the prevalence is 0%.
radiation dose received on Rongelap may have
decreased rather that increased the incidence of
the occult tumors.
But a factor that renders any conclusion of
questionable value is that in many of the surgical
explorations the entire thyroid gland was not
removed and subjected to the close histologic
examination that has been used in most studies on
occult papillary carcinoma prevalence.
The
Marshallese data may, therefore, underestimate
the prevalence of these lesions, particularly in the
multinodular adenomatousgoiters of the exposed
Rongelap children.
The combined number of occult papillary
carcinomas and overt carcinomasin the Rongelap
and Utirik groupsis virtually identical, being 7.0%
in the former and 6.6% in thelatter:

Rongelap

Exposed persons
Occult CA
Overt CA

86
1
5

Total CA
Exposed/Total CA

6
7.0%

Utirik

167
6
5

11
6.6%

There are proportionally more carcinomas in
the Rongelap group and more occult papillary
carcinomas in the Utirik. One might wonder
whether radiation exposure had the effect of
inducing or hastening a change toward increasing
virulence in the usually benign-acting “occult”
lesions. However, such an interpretation does not
take into account either the limitations on

technique of histological examination of the

thyroid mentioned in the preceding paragraph or
the extensive thyroid injury in those in the
Rongelap group who received more than 2000 cGy
to the thyroid.

8) Did thyroxine suppression decrease the incidence
of benign and/or malignant nodules in radiationexposed persons?

Administration of thyroxin for the purpose of

suppression of development of thyroid nodules in
Marshallese who had been living on Rongelap at

the time of exposure was initiated in 1965 shortly
after the first thyroid nodules were detected

(Conardet al., 1967). The distribution of thyroxine,

subsequently extendedto include those persons who
were on nearby Ailingnaeatoll, has been continued
up to the present, with dose being determined by
the results of yearly tests of thyroid function. Utirik
patients are not routinely managed with thyroxine
suppression. It is given to them only when clinically
indicated as noted below. Every six months a

supply of tablets is handed out to each exposed
Rongelap person, whether or not that person
appears for examination, and clinical decisions

relating to thyroxine use are made each year by
endocrinologic consultants who accompany the
medical team during their work in the Marshall
Islands. Thyroxine is also given to all persons who
had thyroid surgery under the auspices of the
Marshall Islands Medical Program, whether exposed
or not, for replacement and suppression.
The value of suppressive therapy in prevention of
thyroid cancer and benign nodule formation is not
clearly determined. Various studies, for the most
part carried out on persons who previously had
treatmentfor thyroid nodules, have indicated (1) no
nodule suppressive effect (DeGrootet al., 1983), (2)
no cancer suppressive effect (Cady etal., 1983), (3)
no suppression of benign nodules (Geerdsen and
Frolund, 1984), and (4) a decrease in benign
nodules but not malignant nodules (Fogelfeld et al.,
1989). One study found that thyroxine reduced the
numberof recurrences in those who had previously
undergone therapy for papillary thyroid carcinoma
(Schneider et al., 1986), although the number of
patients not given suppressive therapy was small.
The timing of thyroxine prophylaxis may be an
important factor in determiningits effectiveness; if
started some years after exposure its value may be
lessened (DeGrootet al., 1983).
Any conclusions derived from the results of the
Marshallese program have scientific limitations.
The Rongelap group has been receiving thyroxine
suppression since 1965 but it is known that
compliance with this regimen is poor, estimated at

no better than 50% (Adamset al., 1983).

The

suppression was not initiated until 10 years after

23

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