fxllocet plete fies scuphete dependemse open the statis ground sere wad

cyetgh, Buf te fast vbhli remains thet ety system of fall-out fosverting

has eo maxizet: upper limit in efficleney defined by thts presision of the

wind field forecasting, ‘The discussion herein ip not intended te ienly

that CASTLE weather foresasting was por, To the ecntrafy, this service
during C/STLE was mech supericr to previous wrk st the FPO.

be Since any iaprovesent in the metecrclogisalfield will
ultimately reflect itself in improved ecnditious in fall-out forecasting,
it seeus imperative thet weather and radsafe pecple ecutinee to sepport

and assist each other and to meintain the close mutacl interest in future
operations as existed on CASTLE. Rewognining the limiting difficultice
verieh constantly hound the westRher forecaster in theyPacific, 4 scams
Gr

that the logical futures stepe for botk weather and redeefe forecastere we
~

clear, nenaly,

(1) Ccertimmed researeh and study of tropical avtocrology,
(2)

Continued devolopment of new techriques aid refinever®d

of the ecrremt fall-cut forecasting systems, particularly those developed
oa CLSTLBS

a

~ "¢) “Continued evetios ef partiale-sise parameters anc the
aftout of thetropopmuse in the fali-cut sechanisn.

(h) ta recogiticn of the possitility for error in either
the weather cr fall-out forceast, the development of mutual weather/redsafe
techniques to "follow through" H-heur with complete post-shet forceasts
and observations tn order to obtain the earliest possible warning of the

development of post-ehot adveres fakl~cut conditions.

a ny

30

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