CONFIDENTIAL Annex A STOCHASTIC MODEL FOR ESTIMATING EFFECTIVENESS OF BOMBING OF AGGREGATED TARGETS ee ee CONTENTS INTRODUCTION 71 BOMB DISTRIBUTION 72 BOMB EFFECTIVENESS 72 POPULATION DISTRIBUTION 14 PROCEDURE FOR OBTAINING BINORMAL FIT TO CITY 76 BOMBS AIMED AT CENTER OF CITY 78 BOMBS AIMED AT DIFFERENT POINTS 79 EVACUATION 79 FIGURES Al. Re.ation or Boms PAtrerN To Crry PATTERN WHEN BoMB Is AIMED AT CENTER OF CITY A2. HypotHeticaL DISTRIBUTION OF URBAN POPULATION 75 76 69 ORO—R-17 (App B) CONELDOENTFHIAL Toner SE SEEES MaecaR LER ee peek cece etree eeeee rT Bee ed ce EN oT aT IE aaaheratcceeeeieceecasecree eresereOI: rarent 1G a WEARER wed hepa eee tts; restore ~ eset fet eee ee se 4m ed TE at i