ak

Maj. Gen. Clarks ;

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25 November 1953

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never been a requirenent in past operations for “winds over the Marshall
Islands up to 40,000 feet . . . from the southeast or south” or for "strong

westerly winds (above 50 knots) above 20,000 feet in the Enivetok-Bikini
region",

To my knowledge, no responsible member of any past Task Force

has requested a twenty-four hour prediction of rain fall or ecuwmlus clouds
over a restricted locality. The last sentence of the section on Page 9
is an impertinence since the Atomic Energy Commission has never specified
acceptable meteorological conditions to any Task Force. fo my knowledge,
the only requirements placed on the Weather Section during Operation Ivy

were ag follows:

a.

To give weather outlooks at a number of times prior to a

b.

To make a forecast the evening before a test,

c.

To give a statement of the reliability of that forecast.

a.

To indicate the next most probable weather conditions if

test.

the forecast were not verified.

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e. To obtain weather data which would permit the Task Force to
determine whether the forecast was, in fact, being verified or not.

f.

To make routine forecasts for normal operations.

Once the Staff Weather Officer had filled these requirements, it was

the responsibility of the Task Force Cormrander to determine that "suitable"

weather would or would not be encountered on the day of the operation.

&,

With regard to the conclusion that "it is entirely possible that

e@ high yield detonation can ‘trigger® a self-sustaining circulation which
will derive ite energy through the condensation process”, I should like

to point out the wery different statement which appears in the report it-

self under 'k' on Page 13 where the statement appears, "whether such a

system could ever become self-perpetuating, through the supply of energy
set free by condensation, 4s a matter about which it is impossible to

reach definite conclusions as yet; at the same time, it mst be said that

the triggering of such a self-sustaining circuletion is not at all inpossible”, I agree completely with this latter statement, but feel that -.
avery different impression is conveyed to the reader by a statement that -

sonething "ig not at all impossible” and a statement that something “is
entirely possible". Moreover, the qualification contained on Page 13 that
"4t is impossible to reach definite conclusions as yet” is a qualification

whose omission peems to me to be important.

The further qualification

appearing in the preceding sentence "provided larger bombs are exploded
4n an atmosphere with pronounced cyclonic shear” is also ignored.
5.

The statement “analysis of dDomb cloud dynamics points to the

reason for the inadequacy of present techniques in high yield cloud sanpling" assumes that present sampling techniques are inadequate for high

yield devices.

IE,D/npna

The evidence for this statement is not made clear anyvhere

BP oe mn,

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