a.
LIBBY:
f continued)

aasumptions is that you can rake, in considering this problen,
it is 20 serious a question that it must be put to experifental
test. Se the purpose of the RAND-Cabriel has essen

been te

set up an experinental test progran to determine which of]

the

various possible sets of assunptions ons might make in
ef tne Cabriel problea.

attack

fo we shall be discussing a protiles from

the point of view of what wo may learn in the fature sord than
from the point of view of what wa know now,

[ think one pould be

auite certain that the earlier Cabriel conclusions are pyobably
rouchly right.

I believe that the data will probably

sulfstantiate

the correctness, but it is just that the probles is suchia
cne thai if there by any doubt about the correctness of
ascumptions we must settle it dy direct experimant,

serious .
fhe besio

Thig

is perhape

a new slant which we hope that the RavD—zbriel will havé

introduced

into this probleme

7

Te have asked you gentlenenf to coms here to help. The breat wealth

of experience represented in this roca can in a short

tell us whether the directions we intend te take — that

tibe, Ithink,

ps, the

directions which program we intend to reconnend - are 1 ely to be
right.

There are several basic quasticns involved and

cose out during the course of the presentation,

¥e hop@

these will
that the

agenda will prove useful and interesting and on the secdnod sheet we

have set forth, for the afternoon sessions, sone discusgion panels
on variozs problems.

"Fe intend to convene this xorning funtil about

1330 this afternoon to present a sort of general reviewlof the

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